Thursday, May 04, 2006

Retail Sales Roundup

As I mentioned in my opening missive, most of the retail sales reports I read were better than expected, and some were truly blowout.

Here is a quick rundown of some notable names:
  • ANF: +17% (vs. +8.2% estimates)
  • AEOS: +19% (vs. +9.9%)
  • CTRN: +47.5%! (vs. +20%)
  • COST: +7.0% (vs. +5.5%)
  • KSS: +13.4% (vs. +5.7%)
  • JWN: +7.3% (vs. +4.8%)
  • ZUMZ: +19.3% (vs. +16.8%)
  • JCP: +2.6% (vs. +2.7%)
  • JOSB: +7.3% (vs. +7.0%)
  • TGT: +10.4% (vs. +10.2%)
  • BEBE: +5.7% (vs. +6.3%)
  • CHS: +5.4% (vs. +8.0%)
  • HOTT: -6.5% (vs. -2.6%)
  • PIR: -6.5% (vs. -0.7%)
  • RAD: +4.6% (vs. +5.0%)

Kohl's (KSS) was a big standout for me. I thought the numbers would be good, but this was very good. I haven't seen a number this good for them in probably 4 or 5 years. As for the stock, I have been recommending it since it was in the low 40s. With the stock up roughly +30% since then, I have trimmed it and am holding the rest for a climb into the 60s.

long KSS

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