Closing At New Highs
The market closed right at session highs. Volume levels grew on both exchanges, making for a solid accumulation day.
Big tech led the way (+2.5%), followed by small-caps (+2.1%). Financials, biotechs, and retail were all strong with 2%+ gains across the board. Tomorrow we get same-store sales results for September, so it will be interesting to see if there is profit taking.
Bond yields were lower on the day, with the 10-year finishing at 4.56%. The yield curve is the most inverted since 2001, and is now signaling approximately 35% chance of a recession (according to Fed reports).
Growth stocks appear to be moving to the forefront, and this rally looks like it has legs. Yes, I am still sitting on more cash that I would like, and will be looking for any near-term opportunity to put more to work.
Takeaway: don't raise too much cash in a market that is making new highs
posted by J. Kahn @ 2:20 PM
2 comments
2 Comments:
Mr Kahn,
I like your blog and appreciate the information. One issue with your takeaway - if you adhere to this takeaway, won't you end up buying at the top? In this see saw market that I think started at the beginning of 2004, I have learned to "trim" profits on the way up while still participating with my original stake. That's now leading me to also having money accumulate on the sidelines, but I feel safer from whipsaws.
Nothing wrong with doing a little trimming and taking profits. I was just trying to imply that when the markets are making new highs, its often a sign of strength. That makes it tough to sit on a bunch of cash waiting for a pullback.
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