Monday, June 16, 2008

Oil Reverses Lower, Stocks Rebound

The market bounced back from its early lows this morning, after oil peaked early and faded as the day wore on.

After briefly touching $139 early this morning, oil reversed all of its gains and closed below $134. That's pretty bearish action, although follow through is key. We have yet to see anything that can knock oil down for more than a day or two.

Tech stocks led the way today, after RIMM rallied big time, GOOG finished positive, and AAPL reversed its early declines to close just shy of $177. The smartphone plays continue to impress.

Brokers were the strongest group on the day, led by LEH. GS reports earnings before the open tomorrow. I will go out on a limb and say that I bet they beat the consensus estimates.

The ARMS Index was above average at 1.11 at the close; the CBOE put/call was also above average at 0.93; and the ISEE was around average at 139. Sentiment has grown a bit more bearish in recent weeks, such that it would not be surprising to see the market continue to rally to keep bearish investors on their toes.

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