Tuesday, May 26, 2009

Chart of the Day


My Chart of the Day is the Nasdaq 100 etf (QQQQ). This leading growth index looked like it hit a double-top last week, and then reversed lower. On Thursday and Friday last week, it sold off and tested support at its 200-day average.

Today was day 3 of that support testing, and we got a very solid bounce from those levels. In the chart above, you can see how the index touched that red line, and then rocketed higher. The index rose +3.5% today, a big one-day move. Moreover, volume rose, making for a nice accumulation day.

As we have seen for awhile now, since the March lows, the market continues to stairstep higher. Each time it looks like it is on the verge of rolling over, buyers step in to put money to work. This provides a nice backdrop for growth stocks, which continue to offer good trading opportunities.

At some point, we will need to see the number of new highs on the Nasdaq expand. But for now, I am content to try to take advantage of trading opportunities, trading around positions and looking for new buys on breakouts. I would highlight stocks like JOYG, QCOM, SXCI, and AVID as falling into the latter group.

The second chart (above) shows the insurance etf (KIE), that I have been eyeing. I stepped up and bought it today, as it also has been consolidating nicely, and looks ready to move higher again.

Today's action lifted the etf back above its 200-day average, which could bring out more buyers. Also, if you step back and look at the chart for this year, you can see what looks like a big cup-and-handle formation developing.

If the KIE can break above its early May highs on expanding volume, it would be a bullish acknowledgement of this technical formation, and portend even higher prices. Fundamentally, I think that the access to TARP funds and the improving equities market makes the case for these stocks more compelling as well.

long KIE



2 Comments:

At 5:54 AM, Blogger Celal Birader said...

i see a cup & handle pattern with KOL also.

 
At 9:44 AM, Blogger J. Kahn said...

Yes, KOL looks good to me too!

 

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