Monday, July 10, 2006

Sentiment Recap

Looking at the weekly sentiment indicators from last week, not much has changed:
  • The bull/bear spread in Investor's Intelligence survey widened only slightly to +4 (39% bulls, 34% bears)
  • The spread in AAII worsened to -5 (38% bulls, 43% bears); this marks the 8th straight week for more bears than bulls
  • The Rydex Nova/Ursa ratio remained low at 9%; the Public Short ratio stayed high at 61%
  • The 10-day put/call ratios have come down, but are still at the upper end of their ranges, reflecting lingering bearish sentiment


While the market remains short-term overbought (oscillators/stochastics), I still anticipate another leg higher after this condition is worked off. Today, it is defensive stocks that are faring the best, while growth stocks remain under pressure.

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