Friday, April 25, 2008

Glad To Be Out of WFR

MEMC Electronics (WFR) reported earnings last night and gave guidance that was disappointing at best. Management continues to talk about production problems at its Texas poly plant, but then they also said that demand "is a bit weaker than typical".

Well, which is it? Is it a supply problem, or demand? I had owned this stock for a couple years, but sold it last month after becoming frustrated with what I felt was poor execution on the part of management.

Spot poly prices are high, and they signed some good contracts, but I began to hear more about buyers balking at signing additional long-term contracts at high prices. Also, for most of the time I owned the shares, the company would regulary raise guidance. But that game looks to have ended. Either mgt. is slipping, or the supply/demand imbalance has caught up.

The stocks is breaking below its 200-day today on rising volume, and I am glad to be out of the position. Maybe the pendulum is swinging to the poly buyers?

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