Thursday, April 12, 2007

Retail Sales Roundup

I think that every company I follow posted better same-store sales in March than the forecast. Here is a list of some of the companies I follow, and how they did in March (vs. consensus):
  • ANF: +7.0% (vs. +1.4%)
  • ARO: +15.9% (9.3%)
  • AEO: +20.0% (+10.9%)
  • CHS: +5.2% (-0.1%)
  • COST: +6.0% (+5.0%)
  • GPS: +6.0% (-1.1%)
  • GYMB: +9.0% (+5.6%)
  • KSS: +16.8% (+9.9%)
  • JWN: +15.0% (+8.5%)
  • ZUMZ: +17.0% (+9.6%)
  • CVS: +7.0% (+7.3%)

These are impressive numbers. The retail index put in a bottom this morning, and has staged a strong upside reversal. The index is now back above its 50-day. This is all the more notable given the strong rise in the price of oil today.

2 Comments:

At 1:59 PM, Blogger keeponlearning said...

What are your thoughts on a possible retest of the early March lows, before the end of April?

 
At 2:19 PM, Blogger J. Kahn said...

I don't see that happening. Unless we get some really big earnings misses. I think sentiment is still too bearish to support a full retest.

 

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